Langue:Français
Daniil Medvedev v Alejandro Tabilo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prévision 76.17%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -6.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.77%76.14%76.19%77.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.22%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV +2.47%
Avantage +0.575%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%23.86%23.81%26.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.913.924.3027.78%25.58%25.51%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 76.17% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 23.83%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.20. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.30, soit une espérance positive de +2.47%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.47%E +0.575%K +0.749%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -3.25%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:16 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.11%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.58%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 04:18 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.48%K -37.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |