StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 19.39%5.16rättvist odds
EV +11.52%
Fördel +2.00%
Kelly +2.43%
Tillväxt +0.279%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.55%19.28%19.57%21.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.055.005.7522.73%19.82%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 80.61%1.24rättvist odds
EV -3.27%
Fördel -2.73%
Kelly -16.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.99%80.72%80.43%83.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.73%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 19.39%; Jannik Sinner (Borta): 80.61%. För Alexander Zverev (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.16. 22 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.52%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.52%E +2.00%K +2.43%G +0.279%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 20:29
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.64%E +1.38%K +1.68%G +0.128%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:39
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:38
Pinnacle🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 18.40%EV +3.18%E +0.598%K +0.736%G +0.023%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.60%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-14 20:40
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 20:29
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.852%E +0.164%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.92%E -7.89%K -68.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
GTbets🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -2.06%E -0.407%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.58%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:39
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
DraftKings🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -4.58%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.39%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:40
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:31
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:39
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:38
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:39
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:29
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 20:39
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -8.46%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:29
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:38
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:39
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:37
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:27
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Novig5.59I 17.89%NM 17.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.45%1.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-14 20:40