L’École des cotes

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 19.39%5.16cote équitable
EV +11.52%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.279%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%19.28%19.57%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.055.005.7522.73%19.82%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.61%1.24cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -16.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.99%80.72%80.43%83.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.73%85.47%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.52%E +2.00%K +2.43%G +0.279%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 20:29
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (FR)5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.64%E +1.38%K +1.68%G +0.128%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:39
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:38
Pinnacle5.32I 18.80%NM 18.40%EV +3.18%E +0.598%K +0.736%G +0.023%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.60%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-14 20:40
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 20:29
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Grosvenor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.852%E +0.164%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.92%E -7.89%K -68.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:40
LowVig.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
BetOnline.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
GTbets5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -2.06%E -0.407%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.58%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:35
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:39
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
DraftKings4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -4.58%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.39%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:40
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:31
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:39
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:38
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:39
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:29
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 20:39
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -8.46%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:29
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:38
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:39
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:40
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:37
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:27
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Novig5.59I 17.89%NM 17.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.45%1.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-14 20:40