StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev (Heim)

Prognose 19.39%5.16faire Quote
EV +11.52%
Vorteil +2.00%
Kelly +2.43%
Wachstum +0.279%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.55%19.28%19.57%21.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.055.005.7522.73%19.82%20.00%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Auswärts)

Prognose 80.61%1.24faire Quote
EV -3.27%
Vorteil -2.73%
Kelly -16.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.99%80.72%80.43%83.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.73%85.47%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Zverev (Heim): 19.39%; Jannik Sinner (Auswärts): 80.61%. Für Alexander Zverev (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.16. 22 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.52%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.52%E +2.00%K +2.43%G +0.279%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 20:29
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.64%E +1.38%K +1.68%G +0.128%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:39
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:38
Pinnacle🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 18.40%EV +3.18%E +0.598%K +0.736%G +0.023%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.60%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-14 20:40
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 20:29
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.852%E +0.164%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.92%E -7.89%K -68.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
GTbets🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -2.06%E -0.407%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.58%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:39
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
DraftKings🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -4.58%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.39%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:40
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:31
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:39
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:38
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:39
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:29
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 20:39
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -8.46%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:29
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:38
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:39
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:37
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:27
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Novig5.59I 17.89%NM 17.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.45%1.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-14 20:40