مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexander Zverev v Jannik Sinner

البداية: 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexander Zverev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 19.39%5.16السعر العادل
EV +11.52%
الأفضلية +2.00%
Kelly +2.43%
النمو +0.279%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.55%19.28%19.57%21.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.405.055.005.7522.73%19.82%20.00%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jannik Sinner (الضيف)

التنبؤ 80.61%1.24السعر العادل
EV -3.27%
الأفضلية -2.73%
Kelly -16.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.99%80.72%80.43%83.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.73%85.47%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.52%E +2.00%K +2.43%G +0.279%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 20:29
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (FR)5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.64%E +1.38%K +1.68%G +0.128%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:39
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:38
Pinnacle5.32I 18.80%NM 18.40%EV +3.18%E +0.598%K +0.736%G +0.023%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.60%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-14 20:40
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:40
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 20:29
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Grosvenor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.852%E +0.164%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.92%E -7.89%K -68.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:40
LowVig.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
BetOnline.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
GTbets5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -2.06%E -0.407%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.58%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:35
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:39
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:40
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:40
DraftKings4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -4.58%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.39%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 20:40
Unibet (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:40
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 20:39
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 20:31
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:39
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:38
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 20:39
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:40
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 20:29
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 20:39
1xBet4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -8.46%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 20:40
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 20:29
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:40
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:38
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:39
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 20:40
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:37
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 20:27
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 20:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Novig5.59I 17.89%NM 17.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.45%1.9%2026-03-14 20:40
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%2.3%2026-03-14 20:40