Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Zverev (Local): 19.39%; Jannik Sinner (Visitante): 80.61%. Para Alexander Zverev (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.16. 22 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.52%.
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.52%E +2.00%K +2.43%G +0.279% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.61%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.161% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.64%E +1.38%K +1.68%G +0.128% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.67%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.099% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.73%E +0.876%K +1.08%G +0.051% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 20:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.40%EV +3.18%E +0.598%K +0.736%G +0.023% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.60%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.79%E +0.527%K +0.649%G +0.018% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.82%E +0.347%K +0.429%G +0.008% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.852%E +0.164%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.92%E -7.89%K -68.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.28%E -0.252%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -2.06%E -0.407%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.58%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.03%E -0.605%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -4.58%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.39%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.97%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 20:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -8.11%E -7.11%K -57.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 20:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -8.46%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.27%E -2.73%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.08%E -3.43%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -9.82%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 20:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 20:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.50%E -5.60%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.89%E -4.14%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 20:37 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 20:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 20:40 |