Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jakub Mensik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV +4.27%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.84%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%41.82%41.77%46.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.272.302.5051.28%44.14%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 58.29%1.72fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.13%58.18%58.23%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.601.7566.67%62.13%62.50%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 41.71%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 58.29%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.27%E +1.71%K +2.84%G +0.121% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.56%E -8.37%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.095%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.24%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.48%E -0.878%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 21:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.00%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.83%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 21:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 21:07 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.66%E -3.96%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.01%E +1.15%K +2.69%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -18.67%E -9.58%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV +0.265%E +0.154%K +0.368%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 21:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |