Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jakub Mensik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.71%2.40kurs godziwy
EV +4.27%
Przewaga +1.71%
Kelly +2.84%
Wzrost +0.121%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%41.82%41.77%46.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.272.302.5051.28%44.14%43.48%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jakub Mensik (Goście)
Prognoza 58.29%1.72kurs godziwy
EV +2.01%
Przewaga +1.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Wzrost +0.054%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.13%58.18%58.23%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.611.601.7566.67%62.13%62.50%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.27%E +1.71%K +2.84%G +0.121% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.56%E -8.37%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.095%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.24%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.48%E -0.878%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 21:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 21:13 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.00%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.83%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 21:03 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 21:07 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.66%E -3.96%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.01%E +1.15%K +2.69%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -18.67%E -9.58%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV +0.265%E +0.154%K +0.368%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 21:13 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Novig | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |