La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 41.71%2.40momio equitativo
EV +4.27%
Ventaja +1.71%
Kelly +2.84%
Crecimiento +0.121%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%41.82%41.77%46.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.272.302.5051.28%44.14%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 58.29%1.72momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.13%58.18%58.23%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.601.7566.67%62.13%62.50%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.27%E +1.71%K +2.84%G +0.121% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.56%E -8.37%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.095%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.24%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.48%E -0.878%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 21:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 21:13 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| GTbets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.00%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.83%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 21:03 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 21:07 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.66%E -3.96%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.01%E +1.15%K +2.69%G +0.054% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -18.67%E -9.58%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV +0.265%E +0.154%K +0.368%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 21:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Novig | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |