Die Wettquotenschule

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 21:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Heim)

Prognose 41.71%2.40faire Quote
EV +4.27%
Vorteil +1.71%
Kelly +2.84%
Wachstum +0.121%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%41.82%41.77%46.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.952.272.302.5051.28%44.14%43.48%40.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.29%1.72faire Quote
EV +2.01%
Vorteil +1.15%
Kelly +2.69%
Wachstum +0.054%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.13%58.18%58.23%62.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.611.601.7566.67%62.13%62.50%57.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.27%E +1.71%K +2.84%G +0.121%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.56%E -8.37%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 21:15
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +0.095%E +0.040%K +0.068%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:15
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:14
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:15
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:14
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:14
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:15
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:14
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:15
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.99%E -0.847%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:14
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:06
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 21:14
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.24%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 21:15
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.48%E -0.878%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 21:05
DraftKings2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.66%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:09
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 20:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:13
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 21:14
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:15
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.31%E -4.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 21:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 21:15
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 21:15
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 21:14
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 21:15
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 21:14
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.08%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.81%E -7.07%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 21:15
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 21:14
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:14
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 21:14
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 21:14
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 21:14
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 21:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.23%E -6.64%K -18.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 21:14
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.00%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:00
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 21:04
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.83%E -3.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 21:03
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 21:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 21:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.23%E -1.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 21:07
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 21:09
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 21:00
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 20:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 21:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 21:14
Unibet (FR)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.66%E -3.96%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.07%E -1.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 21:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.33%E -4.81%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.56%E -3.43%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 21:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.01%E +1.15%K +2.69%G +0.054%4.8%2026-03-08 21:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.42%E -5.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -18.67%E -9.58%K -19.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV +0.265%E +0.154%K +0.368%G +0.001%9.4%2026-03-08 21:13
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%6.5%2026-03-08 21:15