Language:English
Yannick Hanfmann v Max Schoenhaus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Prediction 78.30%1.28fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -16.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%78.50%78.18%80.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.211.211.2386.21%82.81%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Max Schoenhaus (Visit)
Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV +10.24%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.257%
assuming max odds 5.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.11%21.50%21.82%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.374.305.0825.00%22.86%23.26%19.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 78.30%; Max Schoenhaus (Visit): 21.70%. For Max Schoenhaus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.89%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.11%EV +10.24%E +2.02%K +2.51%G +0.257% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -7.61%E -6.45%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV +7.85%E +1.58%K +1.98%G +0.155% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +5.25%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 12:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.08%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.39%E -7.17%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -1.26%E -0.277%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 11:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.17%E -7.91%K -57.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.52%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.69%E -3.00%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -7.12%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |