مدرسة الاحتمالات

Yannick Hanfmann v Max Schoenhaus

البداية: 2026-05-18 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.30%1.28السعر العادل
EV -3.69%
الأفضلية -3.00%
Kelly -16.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.92%78.50%78.18%80.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.211.211.2386.21%82.81%82.64%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Max Schoenhaus (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.70%4.61السعر العادل
EV +10.24%
الأفضلية +2.02%
Kelly +2.51%
النمو +0.257%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.11%21.50%21.82%23.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.374.305.0825.00%22.86%23.26%19.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.89%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.11%EV +10.24%E +2.02%K +2.51%G +0.257%3.0%2026-05-18 12:15
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -7.61%E -6.45%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV +7.85%E +1.58%K +1.98%G +0.155%4.9%2026-05-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +5.25%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072%4.0%2026-05-18 12:18
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.08%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 11:45
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.39%E -7.17%K -49.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 12:15
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -1.26%E -0.277%K -0.355%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 12:10
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 11:44
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.17%E -7.91%K -57.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 12:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.52%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 11:45
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 11:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.69%E -3.00%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -7.12%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 11:59
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 11:45
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 11:45
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 12:15
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 12:20
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 11:45
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 12:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-05-18 12:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%3.5%2026-05-18 12:20