L’École des cotes

Yannick Hanfmann v Max Schoenhaus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Local)

Prévision 78.30%1.28cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -16.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.92%78.50%78.18%80.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.211.211.2386.21%82.81%82.64%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Max Schoenhaus (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.70%4.61cote équitable
EV +10.24%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.257%

avec la cote maximale 5.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.11%21.50%21.82%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.374.305.0825.00%22.86%23.26%19.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.89%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.11%EV +10.24%E +2.02%K +2.51%G +0.257%3.0%2026-05-18 12:15
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -7.61%E -6.45%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV +7.85%E +1.58%K +1.98%G +0.155%4.9%2026-05-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +5.25%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072%4.0%2026-05-18 12:18
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.08%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 11:45
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.39%E -7.17%K -49.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 12:15
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -1.26%E -0.277%K -0.355%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 12:10
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 11:44
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.17%E -7.91%K -57.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 12:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.52%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 11:45
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 11:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.69%E -3.00%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -7.12%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 11:59
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 11:45
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 11:45
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 12:15
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 12:20
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 11:45
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-05-18 12:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%3.5%2026-05-18 12:20