La scuola delle quote

Yannick Hanfmann v Max Schoenhaus

Inizio: 2026-05-18 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Casa)

Previsione 78.30%1.28quota equa
EV -3.69%
Vantaggio -3.00%
Kelly -16.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.92%78.50%78.18%80.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.211.211.2386.21%82.81%82.64%81.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Max Schoenhaus (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.70%4.61quota equa
EV +10.24%
Vantaggio +2.02%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescita +0.257%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.11%21.50%21.82%23.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.374.305.0825.00%22.86%23.26%19.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.89%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.11%EV +10.24%E +2.02%K +2.51%G +0.257%3.0%2026-05-18 12:15
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -7.61%E -6.45%K -42.26%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV +7.85%E +1.58%K +1.98%G +0.155%4.9%2026-05-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +5.25%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072%4.0%2026-05-18 12:18
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.08%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025%4.4%2026-05-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 11:45
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.39%E -7.17%K -49.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 12:15
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -1.26%E -0.277%K -0.355%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:20
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 12:10
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 11:44
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:20
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.17%E -7.91%K -57.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 12:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.52%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 11:45
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 11:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 11:45
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 11:45
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.69%E -3.00%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -7.12%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 11:59
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 11:45
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 11:45
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 12:15
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 12:20
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 11:45
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 11:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 12:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-05-18 12:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%3.5%2026-05-18 12:20