La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Yannick Hanfmann v Max Schoenhaus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Predicción 78.30%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -3.00%
Kelly -16.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.92%78.50%78.18%80.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.211.2386.21%82.81%82.64%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Max Schoenhaus (Visitante)
Predicción 21.70%4.61momio equitativo
EV +10.24%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.51%
Crecimiento +0.257%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.11%21.50%21.82%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.374.305.0825.00%22.86%23.26%19.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.89%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.11%EV +10.24%E +2.02%K +2.51%G +0.257% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -7.61%E -6.45%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV +7.85%E +1.58%K +1.98%G +0.155% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +5.25%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 12:18 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.08%E +0.648%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.39%E -7.17%K -49.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -0.176%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -1.26%E -0.277%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 12:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 11:44 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.17%E -7.91%K -57.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.35%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.52%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| ReBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.69%E -3.00%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -7.12%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.77%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.82%E -5.73%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.47%E -3.67%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.26%E -4.35%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -5.03%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Novig | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |