Школа коэффициентов

Tommy Paul v Daniel Altmaier

Начало: 2026-05-21 14:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tommy Paul (Хозяева)

Прогноз 68.20%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.11%
Преимущество -0.766%
Kelly -2.47%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.06%68.27%68.19%71.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.371.371.4577.52%72.75%73.26%68.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Daniel Altmaier (Гости)

Прогноз 31.80%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.49%
Преимущество +2.22%
Kelly +3.15%
Рост +0.236%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.24%31.73%31.81%34.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.972.993.3837.04%33.64%33.44%29.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +7.49%E +2.22%K +3.15%G +0.236%4.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.76%E +0.551%K +0.801%G +0.014%8.2%2026-05-21 13:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.69%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:20
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.89%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 12:59
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:16
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:15
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 13:20
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.10%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 13:19
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:14
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:00
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 13:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.11%E -0.766%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:19
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20