Szkoła Kursów

Tommy Paul v Daniel Altmaier

Początek: 2026-05-21 14:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Tommy Paul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.20%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -1.11%
Przewaga -0.766%
Kelly -2.47%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.06%68.27%68.19%71.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.371.371.4577.52%72.75%73.26%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Daniel Altmaier (Goście)

Prognoza 31.80%3.14kurs godziwy
EV +7.49%
Przewaga +2.22%
Kelly +3.15%
Wzrost +0.236%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.24%31.73%31.81%34.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.972.993.3837.04%33.64%33.44%29.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +7.49%E +2.22%K +3.15%G +0.236%4.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.76%E +0.551%K +0.801%G +0.014%8.2%2026-05-21 13:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.69%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:20
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.89%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 12:59
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:16
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:15
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 13:20
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.10%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 13:19
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:14
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:00
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 13:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.11%E -0.766%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:19
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20