مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tommy Paul v Daniel Altmaier

البداية: 2026-05-21 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tommy Paul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.20%1.47السعر العادل
EV -1.11%
الأفضلية -0.766%
Kelly -2.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.06%68.27%68.19%71.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.371.371.4577.52%72.75%73.26%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniel Altmaier (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.80%3.14السعر العادل
EV +7.49%
الأفضلية +2.22%
Kelly +3.15%
النمو +0.236%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.24%31.73%31.81%34.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.972.993.3837.04%33.64%33.44%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +7.49%E +2.22%K +3.15%G +0.236%4.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.76%E +0.551%K +0.801%G +0.014%8.2%2026-05-21 13:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.69%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:20
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.89%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 12:59
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:16
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:15
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 13:20
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.10%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 13:19
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:14
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:00
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 13:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.11%E -0.766%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:19
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20