A Escola das Odds

Tommy Paul v Daniel Altmaier

Início: 2026-05-21 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 68.20%1.47odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.766%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%68.27%68.19%71.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.371.371.4577.52%72.75%73.26%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)

Previsão 31.80%3.14odd justa
EV +7.49%
Vantagem +2.22%
Kelly +3.15%
Crescimento +0.236%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.24%31.73%31.81%34.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.972.993.3837.04%33.64%33.44%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +7.49%E +2.22%K +3.15%G +0.236%4.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.76%E +0.551%K +0.801%G +0.014%8.2%2026-05-21 13:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.69%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:20
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.89%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 13:20
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:20
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 12:59
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:16
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 13:19
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:15
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 13:20
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 13:20
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.10%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 13:19
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:14
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 13:00
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 13:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.11%E -0.766%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:19
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 13:20
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-21 13:20
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%6.0%2026-05-21 13:20