La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 68.20%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%68.27%68.19%71.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.371.371.4577.52%72.75%73.26%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 31.80%3.14momio equitativo
EV +7.49%
Ventaja +2.22%
Kelly +3.15%
Crecimiento +0.236%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%31.73%31.81%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.972.993.3837.04%33.64%33.44%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +7.49%E +2.22%K +3.15%G +0.236% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.76%E +0.551%K +0.801%G +0.014% | 8.2% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.173%E +0.055%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.457%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -2.69%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 13:10 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.89%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.23%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 12:59 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 13:16 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.82%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.10%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -8.41%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Fliff | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.48%E -1.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 13:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.11%E -0.766%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 13:00 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |