Language:English
Luciano Darderi v Yannick Hanfmann
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prediction 64.98%1.54fair odd
EV -0.584%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.22%64.95%64.92%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5371.43%68.76%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yannick Hanfmann (Visit)
Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -0.187%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.05%35.08%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.94%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luciano Darderi (Local): 64.98%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visit): 35.02%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.187%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -1.23%E -0.811%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 19:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.187%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:02 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |