Szkoła Kursów

Luciano Darderi v Yannick Hanfmann

Początek: 2026-05-20 19:25 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 64.98%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -0.584%
Przewaga -0.381%
Kelly -1.10%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.22%64.95%64.92%66.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.451.451.5371.43%68.76%68.97%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Yannick Hanfmann (Goście)

Prognoza 35.02%2.86kurs godziwy
EV -0.187%
Przewaga -0.066%
Kelly -0.101%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.57%35.05%35.08%36.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.94%37.04%35.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 19:00
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -1.23%E -0.811%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 19:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 17:10
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 19:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 18:00
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:58
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 17:10
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 19:20
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 19:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:00
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 18:00
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 17:00
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 18:10
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:00
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 19:20
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:00
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:00
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.187%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 19:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 18:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 19:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:02
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 19:20
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 18:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%2.1%2026-05-20 18:30
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-05-20 19:20