La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luciano Darderi v Yannick Hanfmann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Predicción 64.98%1.54momio equitativo
EV -0.584%
Ventaja -0.381%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.22%64.95%64.92%66.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5371.43%68.76%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)
Predicción 35.02%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.187%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%35.05%35.08%36.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.94%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -1.23%E -0.811%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 19:09 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.187%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:02 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |