مدرسة الاحتمالات

Luciano Darderi v Yannick Hanfmann

البداية: 2026-05-20 19:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Luciano Darderi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.98%1.54السعر العادل
EV -0.584%
الأفضلية -0.381%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.22%64.95%64.92%66.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.451.451.5371.43%68.76%68.97%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.02%2.86السعر العادل
EV -0.187%
الأفضلية -0.066%
Kelly -0.101%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.57%35.05%35.08%36.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.94%37.04%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 19:00
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -1.23%E -0.811%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 19:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 17:10
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 19:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 18:00
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:58
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 19:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 17:10
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 19:20
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 19:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 18:00
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 18:00
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 17:00
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 18:10
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 18:00
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 19:20
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:00
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 18:00
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 18:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.187%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 19:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 18:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 19:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:02
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 17:00
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 19:20
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-05-20 19:20
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%2.1%2026-05-20 18:30
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-05-20 19:20