La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Yannick Hanfmann
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 64.98%1.54quota equa
EV -0.584%
Vantaggio -0.381%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.22%64.95%64.92%66.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.451.451.5371.43%68.76%68.97%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.02%2.86quota equa
EV -0.187%
Vantaggio -0.066%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.57%35.05%35.08%36.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.94%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -0.584%E -0.381%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -1.23%E -0.811%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 19:09 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.53%E -1.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.83%E -2.59%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.48%E -3.05%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.13%E -3.52%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.49%E -2.43%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.78%E -3.99%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.187%E -0.066%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:02 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.43%E -4.47%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.08%E -4.95%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.03%E -6.45%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 18:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 19:20 |