Język:Polski
Ignacio Buse v Tommy Paul
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 40.59%2.46kurs godziwy
EV -0.562%
Przewaga -0.230%
Kelly -0.388%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.73%40.63%40.61%44.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.022.272.302.4549.50%44.05%43.48%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tommy Paul (Goście)
Prognoza 59.41%1.68kurs godziwy
EV +2.19%
Przewaga +1.27%
Kelly +3.04%
Wzrost +0.067%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.72
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.21%59.37%59.39%61.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.621.601.7265.79%61.91%62.50%58.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze): 40.59%; Tommy Paul (Goście): 59.41%. Dla wyniku Tommy Paul (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.68. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.72, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.19%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +2.19%E +1.27%K +3.04%G +0.067% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.74%E -5.92%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +1.00%E +0.590%K +1.43%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -15.99%E -7.72%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -16.39%E -7.96%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.16%E -1.94%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:32 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -18.01%E -8.92%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.34%E -2.70%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.562%E -0.230%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.03%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.37%E -0.566%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 12:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 12:37 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -1.78%E -0.736%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 12:27 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.69%E -6.38%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |