La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ignacio Buse v Tommy Paul
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ignacio Buse (Casa)
Previsione 40.59%2.46quota equa
EV -0.562%
Vantaggio -0.230%
Kelly -0.388%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.73%40.63%40.61%44.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.272.302.4549.50%44.05%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tommy Paul (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.41%1.68quota equa
EV +2.19%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +3.04%
Crescita +0.067%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.21%59.37%59.39%61.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.621.601.7265.79%61.91%62.50%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +2.19%E +1.27%K +3.04%G +0.067% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.74%E -5.92%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +1.00%E +0.590%K +1.43%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -15.99%E -7.72%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -16.39%E -7.96%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.16%E -1.94%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:32 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -18.01%E -8.92%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.34%E -2.70%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:27 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.562%E -0.230%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| ReBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.03%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| DraftKings | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.37%E -0.566%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 12:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 12:37 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -1.78%E -0.736%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 12:27 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.69%E -6.38%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Novig | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |