La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 40.59%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.230%
Kelly -0.388%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.73%40.63%40.61%44.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.272.302.4549.50%44.05%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 59.41%1.68momio equitativo
EV +2.19%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%59.37%59.39%61.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.621.601.7265.79%61.91%62.50%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +2.19%E +1.27%K +3.04%G +0.067% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.74%E -5.92%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +1.00%E +0.590%K +1.43%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -15.99%E -7.72%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -16.39%E -7.96%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.16%E -1.94%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:32 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -18.01%E -8.92%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.34%E -2.70%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:27 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.562%E -0.230%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| ReBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.03%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| DraftKings | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.37%E -0.566%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 12:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 12:37 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 12:38 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -1.78%E -0.736%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 12:27 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.69%E -6.38%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 12:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Novig | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56% | 1.8% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 12:40 |