مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ignacio Buse v Tommy Paul

البداية: 2026-05-23 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ignacio Buse (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.59%2.46السعر العادل
EV -0.562%
الأفضلية -0.230%
Kelly -0.388%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.73%40.63%40.61%44.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.022.272.302.4549.50%44.05%43.48%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tommy Paul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.41%1.68السعر العادل
EV +2.19%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +3.04%
النمو +0.067%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.21%59.37%59.39%61.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.621.601.7265.79%61.91%62.50%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +2.19%E +1.27%K +3.04%G +0.067%5.3%2026-05-23 12:37
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.74%E -5.92%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.0%2026-05-23 12:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:40
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:40
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.14%E -6.14%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.60%E +0.934%K +2.25%G +0.036%5.2%2026-05-23 12:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -13.96%E -6.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +1.00%E +0.590%K +1.43%G +0.014%6.0%2026-05-23 12:39
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -14.77%E -7.03%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -0.186%E -0.111%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 12:40
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -15.99%E -7.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -0.780%E -0.467%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -16.39%E -7.96%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -1.37%E -0.828%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 12:39
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 12:30
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 12:39
BetAnything2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.22%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.56%E -1.56%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 12:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.16%E -1.94%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 12:39
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 12:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 12:32
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -18.01%E -8.92%K -17.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -3.75%E -2.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 12:39
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.34%E -2.70%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 12:30
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 12:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 12:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 12:39
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 12:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 12:39
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.94%E -3.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 12:39
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 12:27
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 12:29
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 12:29
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 12:30
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 12:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.53%E -3.48%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:38
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.562%E -0.230%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 12:29
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:29
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.59%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:29
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.03%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.13%E -3.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 12:38
DraftKings2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.37%E -0.566%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 12:39
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 12:28
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 12:29
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 12:37
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.72%E -4.28%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 12:30
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.43%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 12:29
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.65%E -2.89%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.91%E -5.10%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.46%E -3.27%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 12:38
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.68%E -3.86%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.50%E -5.52%K -15.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 12:39
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -1.78%E -0.736%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:29
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.10%E -5.95%K -17.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 12:27
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.69%E -6.38%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 12:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-23 12:39
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-23 12:40
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%1.8%2026-05-23 12:40
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-05-23 12:40