A Escola das Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-05-20 13:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)

Previsão 46.37%2.16odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.88%46.41%46.48%48.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 53.63%1.86odd justa
EV +0.286%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.329%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%53.59%53.52%55.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.781.8758.82%56.40%56.18%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.286%E +0.153%K +0.329%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-20 12:50
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.787%E -0.425%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-20 13:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 13:09
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 08:19
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 06:49
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 12:49
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 12:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:49
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 12:49
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 07:29
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 10:09
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 13:09
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 12:50
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 08:29
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 12:29
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 13:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 13:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 12:09
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 07:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 08:19
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 13:06
Unibet (UK)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 07:30
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 12:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 06:49
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 06:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 06:49
NordicBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 07:30
Betsson2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 07:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 06:49
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 13:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 06:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 06:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-20 13:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 12:49
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-20 13:09
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-05-20 13:00