La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Frances Tiafoe
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa)
Previsione 46.37%2.16quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.88%46.41%46.48%48.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)
Previsione 53.63%1.86quota equa
EV +0.286%
Vantaggio +0.153%
Kelly +0.329%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.05%53.59%53.52%55.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.771.781.8758.82%56.40%56.18%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.286%E +0.153%K +0.329%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.787%E -0.425%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 10:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 10:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 12:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 13:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Betsson | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 13:00 |