L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Prévision 46.37%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%46.41%46.48%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.63%1.86cote équitable
EV +0.286%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.329%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%53.59%53.52%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.781.8758.82%56.40%56.18%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.286%E +0.153%K +0.329%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.787%E -0.425%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 10:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 10:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 12:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 13:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Betsson | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 13:00 |