La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Predicción 46.37%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%46.41%46.48%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 53.63%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.286%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.329%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%53.59%53.52%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.781.8758.82%56.40%56.18%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.286%E +0.153%K +0.329%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.787%E -0.425%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 13:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 10:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 10:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 12:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 13:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 12:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Betsson | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 06:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 12:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 13:09 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 13:00 |