Szkoła Kursów

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Frances Tiafoe

Początek: 2026-05-20 13:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.37%2.16kurs godziwy
EV -2.62%
Przewaga -1.25%
Kelly -2.38%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.88%46.41%46.48%48.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Frances Tiafoe (Goście)

Prognoza 53.63%1.86kurs godziwy
EV +0.286%
Przewaga +0.153%
Kelly +0.329%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.87

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.05%53.59%53.52%55.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.771.781.8758.82%56.40%56.18%53.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.286%E +0.153%K +0.329%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-20 12:50
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.787%E -0.425%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-20 13:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 13:09
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 08:19
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 06:49
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 12:49
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 12:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 06:49
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 13:09
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 12:49
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.00%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 07:29
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 10:09
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 13:09
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 12:50
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 08:29
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.19%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 12:29
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 13:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 13:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 12:09
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 07:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.61%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 08:19
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 13:06
Unibet (UK)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 07:30
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.08%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 12:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.51%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 06:49
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 06:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 06:49
NordicBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 07:30
Betsson2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.48%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 07:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 06:49
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 13:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.17%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 06:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 06:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.29%E -4.85%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.83%E -5.19%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 06:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-20 13:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 12:49
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-20 13:09
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-05-20 13:00