默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Raphael Collignon v Mattia Bellucci

开赛时间: 2026-06-18 15:20 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Raphael Collignon (主队)

预测 52.92%1.89公平赔率
EV -0.502%
优势 -0.267%
Kelly -0.570%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
51.07%53.04%52.72%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.791.801.8858.14%55.90%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mattia Bellucci (客队)

预测 47.08%2.12公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.544%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.17%46.96%47.28%48.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.84%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Raphael Collignon (主队):52.92%;Mattia Bellucci (客队):47.08%。 对于“Raphael Collignon (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.89。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.88,期望值为-0.502%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.502%E -0.267%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 15:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 15:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 15:11
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:11
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:08
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:11
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:11
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 15:09
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 15:11
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:10
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-18 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 15:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-18 15:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-18 15:11
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-06-18 15:11
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%3.6%2026-06-18 15:09