La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Raphael Collignon v Mattia Bellucci
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Raphael Collignon (Casa)
Previsione 52.92%1.89quota equa
EV -0.502%
Vantaggio -0.267%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.07%53.04%52.72%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.791.801.8858.14%55.90%55.56%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)
Previsione 47.08%2.12quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%46.96%47.28%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.84%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.502%E -0.267%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:08 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| ReBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-06-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-06-18 15:11 |
| Novig | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80% | 3.6% | 2026-06-18 15:09 |