مدرسة الاحتمالات

Raphael Collignon v Mattia Bellucci

البداية: 2026-06-18 15:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Raphael Collignon (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.92%1.89السعر العادل
EV -0.502%
الأفضلية -0.267%
Kelly -0.570%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.07%53.04%52.72%54.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.791.801.8858.14%55.90%55.56%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mattia Bellucci (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.08%2.12السعر العادل
EV -1.14%
الأفضلية -0.544%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.17%46.96%47.28%48.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.84%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.502%E -0.267%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 15:10
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 15:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 14:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:09
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 15:11
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 15:10
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:10
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 15:09
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:11
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:08
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:11
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:11
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:11
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 15:09
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:10
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 15:09
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-18 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 15:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-18 15:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-18 15:11
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-06-18 15:11
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%3.6%2026-06-18 15:09