Szkoła Kursów

Raphael Collignon v Mattia Bellucci

Początek: 2026-06-18 15:20 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 52.92%1.89kurs godziwy
EV -0.502%
Przewaga -0.267%
Kelly -0.570%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.88

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.07%53.04%52.72%54.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.791.801.8858.14%55.90%55.56%53.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mattia Bellucci (Goście)

Prognoza 47.08%2.12kurs godziwy
EV -1.14%
Przewaga -0.544%
Kelly -1.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.17%46.96%47.28%48.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.84%50.00%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.502%E -0.267%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 15:10
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 15:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 14:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:09
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 15:11
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 15:10
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:10
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 15:09
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:11
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:08
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:11
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:11
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:11
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 15:09
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 15:10
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:10
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 15:09
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-18 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 15:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.14%E -0.544%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.85%E -2.92%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-18 15:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-06-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-18 15:11
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-06-18 15:11
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%3.6%2026-06-18 15:09