Школа коэффициентов

Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Начало: 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nuno Borges (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.82%3.35справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.98%
Преимущество +0.578%
Kelly +0.817%
Рост +0.016%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.70%29.98%29.68%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.153.153.4235.71%31.79%31.75%29.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Гости)

Прогноз 70.18%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -1.25%
Kelly -4.36%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.67%70.02%70.32%72.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.27%74.07%71.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.98%E +0.578%K +0.817%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 12:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.38%E +0.406%K +0.575%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-15 12:31
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:30
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -2.20%E -0.670%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:49
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:31
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:46
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:51
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:40
BetOnline.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LowVig.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:51
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:51
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:46
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:47
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:51
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 12:50
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.17%E -7.94%K -36.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:47
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Novig3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%2.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-06-15 12:50