مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime

البداية: 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nuno Borges (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.82%3.35السعر العادل
EV +1.98%
الأفضلية +0.578%
Kelly +0.817%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.70%29.98%29.68%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.153.153.4235.71%31.79%31.75%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.18%1.42السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -4.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.67%70.02%70.32%72.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.27%74.07%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.98%E +0.578%K +0.817%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 12:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.38%E +0.406%K +0.575%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-15 12:31
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:30
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -2.20%E -0.670%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:49
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:31
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:46
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:51
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:40
BetOnline.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LowVig.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:51
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:51
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:46
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:47
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:51
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 12:50
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.17%E -7.94%K -36.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:47
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Novig3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%2.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-06-15 12:50