Szkoła Kursów

Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Początek: 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nuno Borges (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 29.82%3.35kurs godziwy
EV +1.98%
Przewaga +0.578%
Kelly +0.817%
Wzrost +0.016%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.70%29.98%29.68%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.153.153.4235.71%31.79%31.75%29.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Goście)

Prognoza 70.18%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -1.74%
Przewaga -1.25%
Kelly -4.36%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.67%70.02%70.32%72.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.27%74.07%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.98%E +0.578%K +0.817%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 12:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.38%E +0.406%K +0.575%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-15 12:31
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:30
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -2.20%E -0.670%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:49
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:31
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:46
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:51
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:40
BetOnline.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LowVig.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:51
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:51
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:46
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:47
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:51
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 12:50
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.17%E -7.94%K -36.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:47
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Novig3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%2.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-06-15 12:50