A Escola das Odds

Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Início: 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 29.82%3.35odd justa
EV +1.98%
Vantagem +0.578%
Kelly +0.817%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.70%29.98%29.68%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.153.153.4235.71%31.79%31.75%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Previsão 70.18%1.42odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -4.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%70.02%70.32%72.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.27%74.07%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.98%E +0.578%K +0.817%G +0.016%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -26.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 12:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.38%E +0.406%K +0.575%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-15 12:31
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:30
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -2.20%E -0.670%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:49
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:30
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:50
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:31
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:30
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 12:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:46
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:51
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:40
BetOnline.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LowVig.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 12:51
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:30
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:51
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:50
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:50
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:46
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:47
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:51
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:30
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 12:50
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.17%E -7.94%K -36.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:47
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Novig3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%2.3%2026-06-15 12:51
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-06-15 12:50