La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 29.82%3.35momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.578%
Kelly +0.817%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.70%29.98%29.68%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.153.4235.71%31.79%31.75%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)
Predicción 70.18%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%70.02%70.32%72.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.27%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.98%E +0.578%K +0.817%G +0.016% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -8.06%E -6.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.38%E +0.406%K +0.575%G +0.008% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-15 12:31 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -1.00%E -0.303%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| BetAnything | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -2.20%E -0.670%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 12:49 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 12:29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| GTbets | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:31 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.67%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.96%E -4.44%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.76%E -6.74%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 12:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:46 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:47 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.36%E -5.58%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.17%E -7.94%K -36.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 12:47 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 12:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Novig | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34% | 2.3% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |