Школа коэффициентов

Joao Fonseca v Yannick Hanfmann

Начало: 2026-06-16 11:15 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

67 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 70.67%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.48%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.76%70.51%70.81%72.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.81%73.53%72.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Гости)

Прогноз 29.33%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.21%
Преимущество +0.349%
Kelly +0.492%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.91%29.49%29.19%32.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.133.103.4534.48%31.97%32.26%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (67 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.349%K +0.492%G +0.006%3.6%2026-06-16 11:10
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.31%E -0.695%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 11:10
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 11:05
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:09
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:09
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:10
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:10
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:59
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:10
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:59
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:59
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -8.18%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.65%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:59
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:07
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:58
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:56
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:08
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:04
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 11:10
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-06-16 11:10
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%3.6%2026-06-16 11:10