StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Joao Fonseca v Yannick Hanfmann

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 11:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

67 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 70.67%1.42faire Quote
EV -2.48%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.76%70.51%70.81%72.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.81%73.53%72.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.33%3.41faire Quote
EV +1.21%
Vorteil +0.349%
Kelly +0.492%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.91%29.49%29.19%32.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.133.103.4534.48%31.97%32.26%28.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Joao Fonseca (Heim): 70.67%; Yannick Hanfmann (Auswärts): 29.33%. Für Yannick Hanfmann (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.41. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.45 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (67 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.349%K +0.492%G +0.006%3.6%2026-06-16 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.31%E -0.695%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 11:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:10
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:04
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:10
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:59
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:59
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -8.18%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.65%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:59
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:07
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:58
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:56
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:08
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:04
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 11:10
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-06-16 11:10
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%3.6%2026-06-16 11:10