La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Yannick Hanfmann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 70.67%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%70.51%70.81%72.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.81%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)
Predicción 29.33%3.41momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.492%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.49%29.19%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.103.4534.48%31.97%32.26%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.349%K +0.492%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.31%E -0.695%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 11:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -8.18%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.65%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:07 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:58 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:56 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:08 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:04 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |