Język:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Yannick Hanfmann
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 70.67%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -2.48%
Przewaga -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.76%70.51%70.81%72.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.81%73.53%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Yannick Hanfmann (Goście)
Prognoza 29.33%3.41kurs godziwy
EV +1.21%
Przewaga +0.349%
Kelly +0.492%
Wzrost +0.006%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.91%29.49%29.19%32.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.133.103.4534.48%31.97%32.26%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze): 70.67%; Yannick Hanfmann (Goście): 29.33%. Dla wyniku Yannick Hanfmann (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.41. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.45, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.21%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (67 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.349%K +0.492%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.31%E -0.695%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 11:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -8.18%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.65%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:07 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |