A Escola das Odds

Joao Fonseca v Yannick Hanfmann

Início: 2026-06-16 11:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

67 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Local)

Previsão 70.67%1.42odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%70.51%70.81%72.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.81%73.53%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)

Previsão 29.33%3.41odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.349%
Kelly +0.492%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.91%29.49%29.19%32.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.103.4534.48%31.97%32.26%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (67 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.349%K +0.492%G +0.006%3.6%2026-06-16 11:10
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.31%E -0.695%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 11:10
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 11:05
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:09
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:09
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:10
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 11:10
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:59
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:10
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:59
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:59
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -8.18%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 11:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:59
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.65%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 10:59
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:07
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:58
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:56
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:08
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 11:04
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 11:10
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:10
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-16 11:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-06-16 11:10
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%3.6%2026-06-16 11:10