L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Yannick Hanfmann
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 70.67%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -6.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.76%70.51%70.81%72.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.351.361.3877.52%73.81%73.53%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Yannick Hanfmann (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.33%3.41cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.349%
Kelly +0.492%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%29.49%29.19%32.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.103.4534.48%31.97%32.26%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (67 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.349%K +0.492%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -2.31%E -0.695%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.19%E -0.968%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 11:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.72%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.81%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.19%EV -8.18%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.65%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.53%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:07 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.86%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:58 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 10:56 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:08 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.00%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:04 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.48%E -1.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 11:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |