Language:English
Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Prediction 43.79%2.28fair odd
EV -0.161%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.77%43.82%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.162.2848.78%46.34%46.30%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 56.21%1.78fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.23%56.18%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.44%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 43.79%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 56.21%. For Flavio Cobolli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.284. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.280, with an expected value of -0.161%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.161%E -0.070%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.47%E -0.655%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.57%E -3.31%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.38%E -5.14%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.63%E -0.932%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.76%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.25%E -4.40%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-06-15 14:51 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53% | 2.2% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |